Does push-up capacity predict heart disease?

Answered November 2, 20269 sources

EvidenceCLimitedStudies in people with real weaknesses: small, short or conflicting trials, or observational studies only.

In one study of about 1,100 active male firefighters, men who could do more than 40 push-ups had far fewer heart events over 10 years. Larger studies are needed to confirm it.

Who it's for
Active, middle-aged men; not shown to predict heart disease in women or others.
What to expect
A rough fitness marker, not a test that can predict one person's risk.
Watch out for
Only one study, with few events and little adjustment.
More push-ups went with far fewer heart events

A dot with a line shows the effect and its range for firefighters doing over 40 push-ups versus under 10.

More push-ups went with far fewer heart events
ResultEstimate95% rangeReading
Over 40 push-ups vs. under 100.040.01 to 0.36Clear improvement

Source 2 JAMA Netw Open, 2019

Figure. Kaplan-Meier Curves for the Cumulative Risk of Cardiovascular Disease Outcome in 5 Push-up Categories Push-up categories are by numbers of push-ups performed during baseline…

Figure from Association Between Push-up Exercise Capacity and Future Cardiovascular Events…, JAMA Netw Open 2019. Licence: CC BY

Figure 2. Pooled ORs of associations between handgrip strength levels and incident long-term health conditions.

Figure 2 from Clinical importance of simple muscular fitness tests to predict long-term…, Br J Sports Med 2026. Licence: CC BY 4.0

What the studies show

  • A study that followed 1,104 male firefighters (average age about 40) for 10 years found that men who did more than 40 push-ups had a much lower rate of heart events than men who did fewer than 102. The rate was about 96% lower in relative terms (a ratio of 0.04). It counted only 37 events, so the true gap could be much smaller or larger. The study adjusted only for age and body weight, and reviewed records after the fact2.
  • A review that pooled 94 studies found that adults with the strongest handgrip had about 27% lower odds of heart disease than adults with the weakest grip1. This is a different strength test, not push-ups. The review rated the overall evidence as very low to moderate quality1. These figures compare groups, so the gain for one person depends on how high their risk was to begin with.
  • A study that followed 38,588 Swedish men from age 18 for up to 40 years linked high muscle strength in the teen years to a 12% lower risk of heart disease or stroke. Low strength was linked to a 31% higher risk of death from heart disease3. Strength was measured by handgrip, elbow and knee tests, not push-ups.
  • Studies in children and teens linked push-up performance to better markers of heart risk, such as waist size, stiffness of the arteries and fitness. These looked at one point in time and did not follow anyone for heart disease4,6,7.

Key studies

StudyWhoWhat it found
Study following people, 201921,104 male firefighters, 10 yearsMore than 40 push-ups linked to far fewer heart events
Review of 94 studies, 20261Adults, handgrip strengthStrongest grip linked to about 27% lower odds of heart disease
Study following people, 2014338,588 Swedish men from age 18High teen strength linked to 12% lower heart disease risk
One-time study, 201261,642 Australian youthPush-up endurance linked to lower clustered heart risk score

What we don't know

  • Whether the push-up link holds in women, older adults, or people who are not active, since only one study followed adults for heart events.
  • Whether push-ups predict heart disease once smoking, blood pressure, cholesterol and overall fitness are accounted for.

Try it yourself: Push-up count

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Written by AI from the studies listed, without review by a clinician, and graded with the GRADE method. It can be wrong, so check the studies it cites. Education, not medical advice.