Does more physical activity lower the risk of dying early?

Answered November 2, 202613 sources

EvidenceBModerateGood evidence in people with one real weakness. New studies could change the answer.

Yes. People who are more active die early less often, and the biggest gain comes from moving from doing nothing to doing a little.

Who it's for
Inactive adults gain most; active people still benefit from more.
What to expect
About 30% lower risk of early death at the recommended 150 minutes a week.
Watch out for
These studies show links, not proof, and can't show cause.
More active people had a lower risk of dying early

A line shows how the risk of death changes from the least active quarter of people to the most active quarter.

00.20.40.60.8111.522.53Activity quarter (1 = least activeRisk of death vs. least active, 1 = sameActivity quarter (1 = least active 1: 1Activity quarter (1 = least active 2: 0.48Activity quarter (1 = least active 3: 0.340.34
More active people had a lower risk of dying early
Activity quarter (1 = least activeRisk of death vs. least active, 1 = same
11
20.48
30.34

Source 3 BMJ, 2019

Figure 2. Dose–response association between non-occupational physical activity and mortality outcomes.

Figure 2 from Non-occupational physical activity and risk of cardiovascular disease, cancer…, Br J Sports Med 2023. Licence: CC BY 4.0

Figure 1. Distribution of marginal MET-hours/week for cohorts included in the all-cause mortality analysis.

Figure 1 from Non-occupational physical activity and risk of cardiovascular disease, cancer…, Br J Sports Med 2023. Licence: CC BY 4.0

What guidelines say

US guidelines advise adults to get 150 minutes of moderate activity a week, or 75 minutes of vigorous activity, plus muscle-strengthening on at least 2 days2. They also advise adults to move more and sit less1.

What the studies show

  • A review that pooled 50 results from large studies of the general population (more than 30 million people overall) linked 150 minutes a week of moderate activity to a 31% lower risk of death from any cause than being inactive. The gain was largest from zero up to that level, smaller up to about twice that amount, and small and uncertain beyond5. These figures compare groups, so the gain for one person depends on their starting risk. The review estimated that about 16% of early deaths would have been avoided if every inactive person reached that level5.
  • A study that followed 416,175 people in Taiwan for about 8 years found that 15 minutes a day (about 92 minutes a week) was linked to a 14% lower risk of death and about 3 more years of life than being inactive. Each extra 15 minutes a day was linked to a further 4% lower risk9.
  • A review of 8 studies using activity trackers (36,383 people, average age 63, followed a median of 5.8 years) found that people in the most active quarter had about a 73% lower risk of death than the least active quarter. Light activity counted too3.
  • Long sitting was linked to higher risk of death. In a review of 13 studies with over 1 million people, about 60 to 75 minutes a day of moderate activity seemed to cancel out the added risk of sitting. It did not fully cancel the risk from 5 or more hours of daily TV4.
  • Better fitness was linked to lower risk of death. In a review of 33 studies, low-fitness people died from any cause about 1.7 times as often as high-fitness people6.
  • A large trial of physical activity in 49,331 women has been completed13.

Key studies

StudyWhoWhat it found
Review of 94 cohorts, 20235General adults, over 30 million31% lower death risk at 150 minutes a week
Study following people, 20119416,175 Taiwanese adults15 minutes a day linked to 14% lower risk
Review of 8 studies, 2019336,383 adults, average age 63Most active quarter had about 73% lower risk
Review of 13 studies, 20164Over 1 million adultsMuch activity offset the risk from sitting

What we don't know

  • Whether activity itself causes the longer life. Active people may differ in other healthy ways, and some studies relied on self-reported activity7.
  • Whether very high activity adds benefit. Gains above about twice the recommended amount are small and uncertain5.

Try it yourself: Weekly activity

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Written by AI from the studies listed, without review by a clinician, and graded with the GRADE method. It can be wrong, so check the studies it cites. Education, not medical advice.