Does low-dose aspirin still make sense?

Answered November 2, 202614 sources

EvidenceAStrongGood randomized trials in people that agree, with no serious weaknesses. New studies are unlikely to change the answer.

For healthy people with no heart disease, low-dose aspirin now brings little net benefit and is not advised from age 60. For people who already had a heart attack or stroke, it still clearly helps.

Who it's for
People with past heart attack or stroke; not shown to help healthy older adults.
What to expect
Slightly fewer heart events in healthy adults, offset by more serious bleeding.
Watch out for
Serious stomach and other bleeding, more likely with age.
Aspirin lowers heart events but raises bleeding

Each dot is the combined result of many trials, with a line showing the range it could plausibly fall in.

Aspirin lowers heart events but raises bleeding
ResultEstimate95% rangeReading
Heart attack, stroke or heart death0.890.84 to 0.95Clear improvement
Major bleeding1.431.3 to 1.56Clear worsening

Source 2 JAMA, 2019

In older adults aspirin did not cut heart disease but raised bleeding

Each dot is a result from one large trial of older adults, with a line for its range.

In older adults aspirin did not cut heart disease but raised bleeding
ResultEstimate95% rangeReading
Heart disease0.950.83 to 1.08No clear difference
Major bleeding1.381.18 to 1.62Clear worsening
Death from any cause1.141.01 to 1.29Probably worse

Sources 5 N Engl J Med, 2018; 7 N Engl J Med, 2018

What guidelines say

The US Preventive Services Task Force recommends against starting low-dose aspirin to prevent a first heart attack or stroke in adults 60 or older1. For adults 40 to 59 with a 10% or greater 10-year risk of heart disease, starting is an individual decision with small net benefit, and people without increased bleeding risk who are willing to take it daily are more likely to benefit1,6.

What the studies show

  • A review of 13 trials with 164,225 healthy adults (median age 62) found aspirin cut heart attacks, strokes and heart deaths by 11% relative to no aspirin. That is about 4 fewer events per 1,000 people over the follow-up period. Major bleeding rose 43%, about 5 more cases per 1,0002. These figures compare groups, so one person's gain depends on their starting risk.
  • An earlier review of 6 trials in 95,000 low-risk people found a 12% relative drop in serious vascular events. Deaths from vascular causes did not differ, and major bleeding rose4.
  • In a trial of 19,114 adults aged 70 or older, 100 mg aspirin over a median of 4.7 years did not significantly lower heart disease (a difference that could be chance). Major bleeding was 38% higher, 8.6 versus 6.2 per 1,000 person-years5. Death from any cause was higher with aspirin, 12.7 versus 11.1 per 1,000 person-years, driven by cancer deaths. The authors called this unexpected and urged caution7.
  • In a trial of 15,480 adults with diabetes followed 7.4 years, aspirin cut serious vascular events (8.5% vs 9.6%) but raised major bleeding (4.1% vs 3.2%). The authors said the bleeding largely counterbalanced the benefit8.
  • In a trial of 12,546 people at moderate risk, aspirin did not significantly reduce heart events over 5 years. Stomach bleeding was about twice as common (0.97% vs 0.46%)11.
  • For people with existing disease, a pooled analysis of 287 studies found antiplatelet drugs cut serious vascular events by about a quarter. Benefits substantially outweighed the bleeding risk, and 75 to 150 mg daily worked at least as well as higher doses3.
  • A secondary analysis of older adults with certain lipoprotein(a) gene variants suggested possible benefit. It was a subgroup A slice of the people in a study, such as only the women or only those over 65. Results in one slice are less reliable than the main result. finding and needs confirmation9.

Key studies

StudyWhoWhat it found
Review of 13 trials, 20192164,225 adults without heart diseaseFewer heart events, more major bleeding
Trial, 2018519,114 adults 70 or olderNo clear heart benefit; more bleeding
Trial, 2018719,114 adults 70 or olderHigher death rate with aspirin, mostly cancer
Trial, 2018815,480 adults with diabetesFewer vascular events; more bleeding
Review of 287 studies, 20023High-risk patientsAspirin protective after heart attack or stroke

Safety

Aspirin can cause severe stomach bleeding. The chance is higher at 60 or older, with past ulcers or bleeding problems, with blood thinners, steroids or other NSAIDs, with 3 or more drinks daily, or with higher or longer use than directed. It can also cause severe allergic reactions12. Anyone taking it daily should review it with their clinician.

What we don't know

  • Whether people with high lipoprotein(a) gene variants truly benefit; this rests on a subgroup analysis9.
  • Whether the higher cancer deaths in older adults are real; the authors urged caution7.

Ask a follow-up

Written by AI from the studies listed, without review by a clinician, and graded with the GRADE method. It can be wrong, so check the studies it cites. Education, not medical advice.